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College football · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026, 1:00 PM ET

UAB at Temple

Upcoming

Model value

UAB
44%
Final estimate
45%Market implied
TempleModel lean
56%
Final estimate
55%Market implied

The pick

Pick locked at-129BetRiversThis price grades the pickBest of books. A typical single book: -135
Live odds-129BetRiversSame as lockedBest of books. A typical single book: -135

Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET

ModelNow: 56% · At lock: 56%
MarketNow: 55% · At lock: 55%

Model lean: Temple (Toss-up). At the locked price the estimated value is -0.8%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.

Saved Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.

Final result

Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.

Odds history

  • Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET: pick locked at -129 (BetRivers), model 56%, market 55%.
SavedUAB best oddsTemple best oddsModel (Temple)Market (Temple)
Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ETNone postedNone posted41%No line
Nov 8, 2026, 11:00 AM ET+110-12555%54%
Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET+125-13057%56%
Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET+116-13056%55%
Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 AM ET+116-13055%54%
Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET+120-13056%55%
Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET+120-12656%55%
Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET+120-12656%55%
Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET+117-12956%55%
Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET+117-12956%55%

One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.

Why this number & game details
  • Power rating: Temple 1328 vs UAB 1430 (Elo-style rating from past results).
  • Last 4 games, average margin: Temple -9.0, UAB -5.2.
  • Model alone: Temple 42% / UAB 58%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Temple 56% / UAB 44%. Market (vig removed): Temple 55% / UAB 45%.
  • Spread: Temple -2.5 · Total 47.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
  • UAB @ Temple Odds
  • News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.

Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.