Model value
San José State
29%
Model estimate
30%Market implied
NevadaValue pick
71%
Model estimate
70%Market implied
The pick
Pick locked at-210BovadaThis price grades the pick
Live oddsClosedGame has started
Odds as of Oct 23, 2026, 11:00 AM ET, when the pick was locked. Live odds close at kickoff.
ModelAt lock: 71%
MarketAt lock: 70%
Value pick: Nevada. Estimated value +5.1% at the locked price (value bar: +2.5%).
Saved Oct 23, 2026, 11:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Result
Win
San José State 13 - Nevada 28
Units
+0.48u
1 flat unit at the locked price
Closing-line value
-2.9%
locked price vs the last pre-kickoff line
1 unit = your standard bet. Example: +0.48u is +$4.76 at $10 per bet.
Odds history
- Oct 23, 2026, 11:00 AM ET: pick locked at -210 (Bovada), model 71%, market 70%.
- Last pre-kickoff check (check 5): market-implied 65.7% for the pick.
No odds snapshots were saved for this game (it was logged before history tracking started). Snapshots are saved each time the model runs, so later games build a full history.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.