Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: New Mexico (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -3.0%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | New Mexico best odds | San José State best odds | Model (San José State) | Market (San José State) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | -700 | +500 | 15% | 16% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | -700 | +500 | 15% | 16% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | -700 | +500 | 15% | 16% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | -700 | +500 | 15% | 16% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | -700 | +500 | 15% | 16% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -700 | +500 | 15% | 16% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
Nevada Rides Stout Defense to 28-13 Win Over San Jose State · CBS Sports, Oct 25, 2026
Nevada, San Jose State Have Questions at Starting Quarterback Ahead of Saturday's Game · Nevada Sports Net, Oct 19, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: San José State 1393 vs New Mexico 1601 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: San José State -0.2, New Mexico +23.5.
- Model estimate: San José State 15% / New Mexico 85%. Market (vig removed): San José State 16% / New Mexico 84%.
- Spread: San José State +14.5 · Total 41.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- October 31, 2026: San Jose State vs New Mexico: Third Quarter College Football Prediction Market
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.