Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: UNLV (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -2.2%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Northern Illinois best odds | UNLV best odds | Model (UNLV) | Market (UNLV) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | +1500 | -2500 | 94% | 93% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | +1500 | -2500 | 94% | 93% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | +1500 | -2500 | 94% | 93% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | +1500 | -2500 | 94% | 93% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | +1500 | -2500 | 94% | 93% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +1400 | -2400 | 94% | 93% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
October 31, 2026: UNLV vs Northern Illinois: Third Quarter College Football Prediction Market · Robinhood, Oct 25, 2026
Lobos, Bison Hold Top 2 Spots in This Week's Mountain West Power Rankings · WyomingNews.com, Oct 23, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: UNLV 1552 vs Northern Illinois 1266 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: UNLV +8.0, Northern Illinois -23.8.
- Model estimate: UNLV 94% / Northern Illinois 6%. Market (vig removed): UNLV 93% / Northern Illinois 7%.
- Spread: UNLV -24.5 · Total 52.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Alejado, Rice Help Hawaii Go the Distance in 56-21 Victory Over Northern Illinois
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.