Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: North Dakota State (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is -3.6%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | North Dakota State best odds | Hawai'i best odds | Model (Hawai'i) | Market (Hawai'i) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | None posted | None posted | 35% | No line |
| Nov 8, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | None posted | None posted | 35% | No line |
| Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -325 | +260 | 26% | 27% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -245 | +210 | 31% | 32% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -245 | +210 | 31% | 32% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -245 | +205 | 32% | 32% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -245 | +205 | 32% | 32% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -245 | +205 | 32% | 32% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET | -245 | +205 | 32% | 32% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -245 | +205 | 32% | 32% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Warriors Host North Dakota State Looking for Third Straight Win · Hawaii athletics, Nov 10, 2026
Hawai‘i Returns Home Seeking Third Straight Win Against North Dakota State · Hawaii Sports Radio Network, Nov 13, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Hawai'i 1421 vs North Dakota State 1580 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Rest: North Dakota State has 7 more days of rest.
- Last 4 games, average margin: Hawai'i +2.2, North Dakota State +6.8.
- Model alone: Hawai'i 36% / North Dakota State 64%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Hawai'i 32% / North Dakota State 68%. Market (vig removed): Hawai'i 32% / North Dakota State 68%.
- Spread: Hawai'i +6.75 · Total 38.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- College Football: TV Schedule, Game Times and Previews
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.