Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: Western Michigan (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -1.5%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Bowling Green best odds | Western Michigan best odds | Model (Western Michigan) | Market (Western Michigan) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | +520 | -650 | 85% | 84% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | +520 | -650 | 85% | 84% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | +520 | -650 | 85% | 84% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | +520 | -650 | 85% | 84% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | +520 | -650 | 85% | 84% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +520 | -650 | 85% | 84% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
WMU's Comeback Falls Short at Toledo · Western Michigan University Athletics, Oct 24, 2026
October 31, 2026: Western Michigan vs Bowling Green: Second Half Prediction Market · Robinhood, Oct 25, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Western Michigan 1547 vs Bowling Green 1389 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Western Michigan +8.5, Bowling Green +6.0.
- Model estimate: Western Michigan 85% / Bowling Green 15%. Market (vig removed): Western Michigan 84% / Bowling Green 16%.
- Spread: Western Michigan -14 · Total 43.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Toledo Outlasts Western Michigan 45-38 to Clinch Bowl Eligibility
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.