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College football · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2026, 8:00 PM ET

Buffalo at Miami (OH)

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Model value

Buffalo
31%
Final estimate
32%Market implied
Miami (OH)Model lean
69%
Final estimate
68%Market implied

The pick

Live odds-220FanDuelBest of books. A typical single book: -237

Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.

Odds as of Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET

ModelNow: 69%
MarketNow: 68%

Model lean: Miami (OH) (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is +0.7%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.

Final result

Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.

Odds history

SavedBuffalo best oddsMiami (OH) best oddsModel (Miami (OH))Market (Miami (OH))
Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET+215-22069%68%

One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.

Why this number & game details
  • Power rating: Miami (OH) 1467 vs Buffalo 1472 (Elo-style rating from past results).
  • Last 4 games, average margin: Miami (OH) +4.5, Buffalo +6.5.
  • Model alone: Miami (OH) 66% / Buffalo 34%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Miami (OH) 69% / Buffalo 31%. Market (vig removed): Miami (OH) 68% / Buffalo 32%.
  • Spread: Miami (OH) -6.5 · Total 45.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
  • Miami (OH) vs. Buffalo Prediction: Picks, Live Odds and Moneyline – November 3, 2026
  • News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.

Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.