Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: Georgia Southern (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is -1.9%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | App State best odds | Georgia Southern best odds | Model (Georgia Southern) | Market (Georgia Southern) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | +164 | -198 | 65% | 64% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | +164 | -198 | 65% | 64% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | +164 | -198 | 65% | 64% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | +164 | -198 | 65% | 64% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | +164 | -198 | 65% | 64% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +164 | -198 | 65% | 64% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
From Player to Coach: Darius Safford’s Journey Comes Full Circle Against App State · Georgia Southern University Athletics, Oct 22, 2026
Dukes Brace for Thursday Night Trip to App State · James Madison University Athletics, Oct 20, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Georgia Southern 1477 vs App State 1464 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Georgia Southern -0.5, App State -2.8.
- Model estimate: Georgia Southern 65% / App State 35%. Market (vig removed): Georgia Southern 64% / App State 36%.
- Spread: Georgia Southern -4.5 · Total 54.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- App State 34-31 James Madison (Oct 22, 2026) Game Recap
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.