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College football · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 2:00 PM ET

Coastal Carolina at Georgia State

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Model value

Coastal Carolina
30%
Model estimate
32%Market implied
Georgia StateModel pick
70%
Model estimate
68%Market implied

The pick

Live odds-235BetMGM

Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.

Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

ModelNow: 70%
MarketNow: 68%

Model pick: Georgia State (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is -0.7%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.

Final result

Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.

Odds history

SavedCoastal Carolina best oddsGeorgia State best oddsModel (Georgia State)Market (Georgia State)
Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET+205-24070%68%
Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET+205-24070%68%
Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET+205-24070%68%
Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET+210-23570%68%
Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET+210-23570%68%
Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET+210-23570%68%

One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.

Why this number & game details
  • Power rating: Georgia State 1422 vs Coastal Carolina 1377 (Elo-style rating from past results).
  • Last 4 games, average margin: Georgia State +5.0, Coastal Carolina -5.2.
  • Model estimate: Georgia State 70% / Coastal Carolina 30%. Market (vig removed): Georgia State 68% / Coastal Carolina 32%.
  • Spread: Georgia State -6.5 · Total 59.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
  • October 31, 2026: Georgia State vs Coastal Carolina: Second Half Prediction Market
  • News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.

Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.