Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: James Madison (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -2.3%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Troy best odds | James Madison best odds | Model (James Madison) | Market (James Madison) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | +950 | -1300 | 91% | 90% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | +950 | -1300 | 91% | 90% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | +950 | -1300 | 91% | 90% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | +950 | -1300 | 91% | 90% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | +950 | -1300 | 91% | 90% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +900 | -1400 | 91% | 90% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
Impacts to Game Day and Campus Operations for Thursday Night JMU Football Game (Oct. 29) · James Madison University Athletics, Oct 20, 2026
October 29, 2026: James Madison vs Troy: Third Quarter College Football Prediction Market · Robinhood, Oct 19, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: James Madison 1688 vs Troy 1410 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: James Madison +13.8, Troy -6.0.
- Model estimate: James Madison 91% / Troy 9%. Market (vig removed): James Madison 90% / Troy 10%.
- Spread: James Madison -20.5 · Total 52.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- JMU vs App State Prediction, Odds, Picks Today: College Football Week 8
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.