Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: James Madison (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -3.1%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | James Madison best odds | Southern Miss best odds | Model (Southern Miss) | Market (Southern Miss) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -520 | +390 | 19% | 20% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
James Madison at Southern Miss to Air on ESPN2 in Sun Belt Football Week 10 · Sun Belt Conference, Oct 26, 2026
Dukes Drop Second Straight in OT - James Madison University Athletics · James Madison University Athletics, Oct 30, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Southern Miss 1374 vs James Madison 1656 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Rest: James Madison has 2 more days of rest.
- Last 4 games, average margin: Southern Miss -3.2, James Madison +6.0.
- Model alone: Southern Miss 24% / James Madison 76%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Southern Miss 19% / James Madison 81%. Market (vig removed): Southern Miss 20% / James Madison 80%.
- Spread: Southern Miss +14 · Total 55.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- November 5, 2026: Southern Miss vs James Madison: Fourth Quarter Prediction Market
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.