Model value
LouisianaLikelier to win
78%
Final estimate
78%Market implied
UL Monroe
22%
Final estimate
22%Market implied
The pick
No pick was saved before this game started.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Louisiana best odds | UL Monroe best odds | Model (UL Monroe) | Market (UL Monroe) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -450 | +350 | 20% | 21% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -450 | +350 | 20% | 21% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -440 | +360 | 21% | 21% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -430 | +350 | 21% | 22% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -410 | +350 | 21% | 22% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -410 | +340 | 21% | 22% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -410 | +340 | 21% | 22% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -410 | +340 | 22% | 22% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: UL Monroe 1289 vs Louisiana 1510 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: UL Monroe -7.2, Louisiana +6.0.
- Model alone: UL Monroe 23% / Louisiana 77%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): UL Monroe 26% / Louisiana 74%. Market (vig removed): UL Monroe 26% / Louisiana 74%.
- Spread: UL Monroe +10 · Total 47.25 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Louisiana @ UL Monroe Odds
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.