Model value
The pick
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Jacksonville State (Strong). At the locked price the estimated value is -3.0%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Saved Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET: pick locked at -295 (BetOnline.ag), model 72%, market 72%.
| Saved | Jacksonville State best odds | Western Kentucky best odds | Model (Western Kentucky) | Market (Western Kentucky) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | None posted | None posted | 24% | No line |
| Nov 8, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -205 | +170 | 35% | 36% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -250 | +235 | 30% | 30% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -275 | +240 | 28% | 29% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -275 | +242 | 28% | 29% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -275 | +242 | 28% | 29% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -285 | +242 | 28% | 29% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -285 | +242 | 28% | 29% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET | -295 | +250 | 28% | 28% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -295 | +250 | 28% | 28% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Hilltoppers Host Jax State for Homecoming on Saturday · Western Kentucky University Athletics, Nov 12, 2026
How to Watch Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky, Time, Date, TV, Prediction · Gadsden Times, Nov 9, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Western Kentucky 1395 vs Jacksonville State 1562 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Western Kentucky +2.8, Jacksonville State +15.2.
- Model alone: Western Kentucky 27% / Jacksonville State 73%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Western Kentucky 28% / Jacksonville State 72%. Market (vig removed): Western Kentucky 28% / Jacksonville State 72%.
- Spread: Western Kentucky +7.5 · Total 54.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky (Nov 14, 2026) Pregame
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.