Model value
The pick
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Kennesaw State (Strong). At the locked price the estimated value is -2.2%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Saved Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET: pick locked at -270 (LowVig.ag), model 71%, market 71%.
| Saved | Kennesaw State best odds | Sam Houston best odds | Model (Sam Houston) | Market (Sam Houston) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | None posted | None posted | 30% | No line |
| Nov 8, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -305 | +245 | 27% | 28% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -320 | +270 | 26% | 26% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -300 | +260 | 26% | 27% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -310 | +280 | 26% | 27% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -300 | +265 | 27% | 27% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -275 | +255 | 28% | 28% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | -290 | +255 | 28% | 28% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET | -270 | +240 | 29% | 29% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | -270 | +240 | 29% | 29% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Owls Look to Keep Rolling, Head West to Sam Houston · Kennesaw State University Athletics, Nov 10, 2026
Kennesaw State Owls @ Sam Houston Bearkats: Live Game Updates, Stats, Play-by-play · Yahoo Sports, Nov 12, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Sam Houston 1257 vs Kennesaw State 1432 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Sam Houston -18.2, Kennesaw State -3.2.
- Model alone: Sam Houston 32% / Kennesaw State 68%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Sam Houston 29% / Kennesaw State 71%. Market (vig removed): Sam Houston 29% / Kennesaw State 71%.
- Spread: Sam Houston +7 · Total 46.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Kennesaw State @ Sam Houston State Odds
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.