Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET: none posted yet
Model lean: Liberty (Strong). No odds are available for this game, so there is no value estimate.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Liberty best odds | New Mexico State best odds | Model (New Mexico State) | Market (New Mexico State) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | None posted | None posted | 12% | No line |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 1, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State Prediction: The Big Moment for the Aggies · Yahoo Sports, Oct 28, 2026
Aggies Drop Home Contest to Jax State · New Mexico State University Athletics, Oct 28, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: New Mexico State 1352 vs Liberty 1592 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Rest: New Mexico State has 3 more days of rest.
- Last 4 games, average margin: New Mexico State -4.0, Liberty +28.8.
- Defense Shines in 49-10 Homecoming Win Over FIU
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.