Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: Middle Tennessee (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is +1.0%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Kennesaw State best odds | Middle Tennessee best odds | Model (Middle Tennessee) | Market (Middle Tennessee) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | +136 | -143 | 60% | 58% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | +136 | -143 | 60% | 58% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | +135 | -143 | 59% | 58% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | +135 | -143 | 59% | 58% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | +135 | -143 | 59% | 58% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +135 | -143 | 59% | 58% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
Utah State vs. Texas State Live Stream, Where to Watch Online, CBS Sports Network Finder, Odds · CBS Sports, Oct 25, 2026
Middle Tennessee and Kennesaw State Meet in CUSA Play · Rockdale Citizen, Oct 25, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Middle Tennessee 1404 vs Kennesaw State 1380 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Middle Tennessee -14.8, Kennesaw State -8.8.
- Model estimate: Middle Tennessee 59% / Kennesaw State 41%. Market (vig removed): Middle Tennessee 58% / Kennesaw State 42%.
- Spread: Middle Tennessee -3 · Total 51.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Middle Tennessee 26-23 Florida International (Oct 20, 2026) Game Recap
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.