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College football · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 3:30 PM ET

Florida International at Liberty

Upcoming

Model value

Florida International
15%
Model estimate
17%Market implied
LibertyModel pick
85%
Model estimate
83%Market implied

The pick

Live odds-575DraftKings

Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.

Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

ModelNow: 85%
MarketNow: 83%

Model pick: Liberty (Strong). At the current price the estimated value is -0.5%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.

Final result

Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.

Odds history

SavedFlorida International best oddsLiberty best oddsModel (Liberty)Market (Liberty)
Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET+470-55084%82%
Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET+470-55084%82%
Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET+470-55084%82%
Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET+470-55084%82%
Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET+470-55084%82%
Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET+520-57585%83%

One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.

Why this number & game details
  • Power rating: Liberty 1573 vs Florida International 1444 (Elo-style rating from past results).
  • Last 4 games, average margin: Liberty +23.2, Florida International +1.8.
  • Model estimate: Liberty 85% / Florida International 15%. Market (vig removed): Liberty 83% / Florida International 17%.
  • Spread: Liberty -14 · Total 45.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
  • Homecoming Welcomes All for a Weekend of Fall Fun with Family and Friends
  • News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.

Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.