Model value
The pick
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Delaware (Lean). At the locked price the estimated value is +0.1%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Saved Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET: pick locked at -188 (FanDuel), model 65%, market 64%.
| Saved | Florida International best odds | Delaware best odds | Model (Delaware) | Market (Delaware) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | None posted | None posted | 63% | No line |
| Nov 8, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | None posted | None posted | 63% | No line |
| Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +176 | -205 | 66% | 65% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +176 | -205 | 66% | 65% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +175 | -182 | 66% | 64% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +185 | -200 | 66% | 65% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +186 | -200 | 66% | 65% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +186 | -200 | 66% | 65% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET | +174 | -188 | 66% | 64% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +174 | -188 | 65% | 64% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Florida International vs Delaware Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11 · sports.betmgm.com, Nov 10, 2026
College Football: TV Schedule, Game Times and Previews · NCAA.com, Nov 12, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Delaware 1461 vs Florida International 1436 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Delaware +8.0, Florida International -10.5.
- Model alone: Delaware 62% / Florida International 38%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Delaware 65% / Florida International 35%. Market (vig removed): Delaware 64% / Florida International 36%.
- Spread: Delaware -4.5 · Total 53.75 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Delaware vs. Florida International Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History and Picks - November 14, 2026
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.