Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: UL Monroe (Underdog). At the current price the estimated value is -3.4%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Southern Miss best odds | UL Monroe best odds | Model (UL Monroe) | Market (UL Monroe) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | -155 | +130 | 42% | 42% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | -155 | +130 | 42% | 42% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | -155 | +130 | 42% | 42% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | -155 | +130 | 42% | 42% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | -155 | +130 | 42% | 42% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -155 | +130 | 42% | 42% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
Southern Miss vs. UL Monroe (Oct 31, 2026) Pregame · ESPN, Oct 25, 2026
October 31, 2026: UL Monroe vs Southern Miss: Second Half College Football Prediction Market · Robinhood, Oct 25, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: UL Monroe 1298 vs Southern Miss 1343 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: UL Monroe -15.5, Southern Miss -7.5.
- Model estimate: UL Monroe 42% / Southern Miss 58%. Market (vig removed): UL Monroe 42% / Southern Miss 58%.
- Spread: UL Monroe +3 · Total 53.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Southern Miss 35-31 Louisiana (24 Oct, 2026) Game Recap
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.