Model value
The pick
Not locked yet. The price available at lock time (about 36 hours before kickoff, or sooner if it becomes a value pick) is the one that grades the pick.
Odds as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Model pick: Louisiana Tech (Lean). At the current price the estimated value is -2.5%, below the +2.5% value bar, so it is not a value pick.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
| Saved | Louisiana Tech best odds | South Alabama best odds | Model (South Alabama) | Market (South Alabama) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET | -192 | +175 | 36% | 36% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM ET | -192 | +175 | 36% | 36% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET | -196 | +175 | 36% | 36% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:13 PM ET | -196 | +175 | 36% | 36% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 5:20 PM ET | -196 | +175 | 36% | 36% |
| Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | -196 | +175 | 35% | 36% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Oct 25, 2026, 4:45 PM ET.
Kickoff Time Set for South Alabama vs. Louisiana Tech Halloween Football Game · WKRG, Oct 21, 2026
Marshall 20-13 South Alabama (Oct 20, 2026) Game Recap · ESPN, Oct 21, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: South Alabama 1456 vs Louisiana Tech 1520 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: South Alabama -1.8, Louisiana Tech +13.2.
- Model estimate: South Alabama 35% / Louisiana Tech 65%. Market (vig removed): South Alabama 36% / Louisiana Tech 64%.
- Spread: South Alabama +5.5 · Total 56.5 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- October 31, 2026: South Alabama vs Louisiana Tech: Second Half College Football Prediction Market
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.