Model value
The pick
Odds as of Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Model lean: Louisiana Tech (Strong). At the locked price the estimated value is -2.4%. Value labels are switched off while the model has not beaten the betting market, so this is a lean, not a value pick.
Saved Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET: pick locked at -950 (DraftKings), model 88%, market 87%.
| Saved | Southern Miss best odds | Louisiana Tech best odds | Model (Louisiana Tech) | Market (Louisiana Tech) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | None posted | None posted | 87% | No line |
| Nov 8, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +850 | -1450 | 91% | 90% |
| Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +700 | -1100 | 89% | 88% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +650 | -950 | 89% | 87% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +625 | -950 | 88% | 87% |
| Nov 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET | +625 | -950 | 88% | 87% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +625 | -950 | 88% | 87% |
| Nov 10, 2026, 11:00 AM ET | +625 | -950 | 88% | 87% |
| Nov 12, 2026, 9:13 PM ET | +625 | -950 | 88% | 87% |
| Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET | +625 | -950 | 88% | 87% |
One snapshot is saved each time the model runs, before kickoff. Odds are the best price across sportsbooks at that moment. First snapshot for this game: Nov 8, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: Nov 14, 2026 · FOX Sports, Nov 12, 2026
5 Big Things to Know as Southern Miss Looks to Keep Bowl Eligibility Alive at LaTech · Sports Illustrated, Nov 9, 2026
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Louisiana Tech 1580 vs Southern Miss 1359 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Rest: Southern Miss has 2 more days of rest.
- Last 4 games, average margin: Louisiana Tech +22.2, Southern Miss -5.8.
- Model alone: Louisiana Tech 85% / Southern Miss 15%. Final estimate (model blended with the market): Louisiana Tech 88% / Southern Miss 12%. Market (vig removed): Louisiana Tech 87% / Southern Miss 13%.
- Spread: Louisiana Tech -17.25 · Total 56.25 (reference only; this model picks moneylines).
- Louisiana Tech vs Southern Miss Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Week 11 2026
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.