Model value
Hardin SimmonsModel pick
72%
Model estimate
No lineMarket implied
Nelson (TX)
28%
Model estimate
No lineMarket implied
The pick
Pick locked atNo priceCounts in the record, not in units
Live oddsClosedGame has started
Odds as of Oct 23, 2026, 11:00 AM ET, when the pick was locked. Live odds close at kickoff.
ModelAt lock: 72%
Model pick: Hardin Simmons (Strong). No odds are available for this game, so there is no value estimate.
Saved Oct 23, 2026, 11:00 AM ET. Locked picks are never edited or deleted.
Final result
Not graded yet. The final score and result appear here after the game, graded at the locked price.
Odds history
- Oct 23, 2026, 11:00 AM ET: pick locked (no price available), model 72%.
No odds snapshots were saved for this game (it was logged before history tracking started). Snapshots are saved each time the model runs, so later games build a full history.
Why this number & game details
- Power rating: Nelson (TX) 1453 vs Hardin Simmons 1572 (Elo-style rating from past results).
- Last 4 games, average margin: Nelson (TX) -28.0, Hardin Simmons +57.5.
- News and injury reports are shown for context. They do not change the model's number yet, and betting markets usually price big injuries in already. Check official reports before relying on any number.
Value bar for College football: +2.5% estimated value. Which price counts: the "Pick locked at" price, not live odds.